us-ftc-advocacy-filings-1f294ffa199817ba35cdfce447c13380•FTC Staff Comment Before the General Assembly of Ohio Concerning S.B. 103 to Enact Additional Restrictions on the Establishment and Relocation of Auto Dealers
FTC Staff Comment Before the General Assembly of Ohio Concerning S.B. 103 to Enact Additional Restrictions on the Establishment and Relocation of Auto Dealers
us-ftc-advocacy-filings-1f294ffa199817ba35cdfce447c13380FTC Staff Comment Before the General Assembly of Ohio Concerning S.B. 103 to Enact Additional Restrictions on the Establishment and Relocation of Auto DealersAdvocacy Filing
~ 7-{ z
COi>l:\lE:\TS or FEDER~L TR-\J.)E CO\J~nSSIO~ST.-\rr
0:\ SE~ATE DILL 103 //
'I r C"a;l'll'31' "'l"~ 'l''''ll''e''s -...: "1'" <:"'I''''t''' C")l"'~'Jr"'" ("1 H,,:,',,\,,,\,c' .,... J..... ..." ... Lot 1V ........ 4 '-'... ~ ..... 1 ~. '- J'-. J.f~..... ... ......... l\.,........ (=-,1 \ 'L .....
The o?i:1ior,s J:1C Views ex?~essed :,e:-el:-l ;ne '.!:(;..;~ (If '.;1,;' "l,~, I ,,; ',,:,,'
Clcvclalld Regional Office and tl:e Bureaus of C:)~l:retltl(Jr:. C(.·;n,)~::l:er 1>:· ··~e::::.. ",
, ,
SU::r:liL ~.lt:Sl· Cj.)TT1:Tl\.,;;~L~ :t";
i .- -: " .,.
distributors.
the existing frcinr.:!":isc stCltUl~S inr.JhiL ~()mrC'~iLi()n :.lilli, i:l su l.Ln:;g, ;~!]";i.: ,:::<,'
for consumers. SB ~03 ap?ears li~el\' :0 com?cund ~he ;ml;-com!,~~il:\':: :::"-;'':'"
uf lhe current lawS. Therefore, w(; urge t]13t tll.: 3me:lcime,lts cor~t(line'~ :::
SI3 103 not be auopteu. Jnd \\'e re:.:om;l1~nd [}j;Jl yuu iT1:-'lC~C cun:-,iL!c:- k~i.'~:IL!(;i:
lhat w()uld rCjJc~l the eXIsting stanltes.
The FTC lS charged \vlth m<Hl1tCl1111ng ci.lmrctilion i1THJ pTlJll<lJIIg Ll;J1~L.!;:,-~'
;ron1 restrai:1ts of trnde. 1 In (lcc()rdancc with this role. t:1C FTC ~ll1d :t~ S:;l,:"
submit comments upon request to feder:Jl, slate unJ lucal gU\(;rlllJ1Cllb T.) ;;(";:'.
ZiSSCSS the cOl;)pe~iti\'e and C()ll')\!~ler \\'C!(diC imi'iil'cl[iun::. (,f ;.:>enc:ing re:;,.:::,:r: \'
i nitia ti Yes.
ill IS USC ~ 41 ~ lDI.'
has ~aineG substantial cxrCrJC:lc:: i71 a:la:yz:r1g ::1C l;1lrac< (;:" ":-\~lCI.::5 :-cs~:-~::::s
on competitio:-! and :~e L:()sts d::l: D<::ldiLs i,)f 'j,"c:n ,C\Lr:..:.;r;h ~lJ -':·);1~~:::CI". I"
recent ye~rs, ,l1~ FTC staff I:~s L"cen uivciveu ;~ ::t;r:1::':::r .;: :s;:l;e::. s::,=c::~:c::>"
- .,
;u:-- \... .\::I:l~;I ....·. ~ .... \...
fTC's Bureau of Econcmics pu~;llshed the results or ,l stuJ\, (;If :::e 'ElI'C; ,1'
Sr~;je Emry Rq.;u/arioll Ull Re:~:.;:'l Al<TUlIlOin!e .'f.::,.;';':rs."2
Tht Exi~lin~ R:\IA Laws und The
St:nult Bill 103 Aml:ndml'nt.... HLlnn COI1~t1I11(.:r.,
;;;: -. ~ .•. , 1 ;-,
- ~ .... :--
rclccarc dc2.1crsi~\ps r:1usr gl\'C w:-::tC:l! -:iO£:c: ~(\ n!! l:,\i,-:,lir:; ,~~,:;~T) ,;;:1.::-:::
v<:hick's uf tht' saDe mu;";'e '.\,::::::1 t::e retev::l!:r n:;nke: 'H'e::. ~OJ:::..:: ~~';, C~:~2
§§ 451i.Ol(X), 451i.50(A).] 3 A ":-~;~\'3::r n:;u:-':ct Jr2a' is deL:',,:-;: '::5 :i:',:: ~'.;"'::::
whhin a radius o( ten miles (rem :lJc SHe or the proposed 7i2W J~'a:('r ~O:ZC
2 \Ve are D[Oviding ,lle C:)mminee \\'Jth ;1 capy vi {lus Sr;;:f Rei)on
(Attachment 1) for your inform:l:il)n.
The term "motor VCllIC!c" is dcfin.:.d ~n Obo Re\', Code 3 ~501.OJ(B) ~nc
includes ot:le:- seif-D[CDcJled vcl:ic:~s, such :1S ::lOwrc\,c!cs, :~:~!lufJcrLlrcj hc;]:~c;;
"nd recreatwnal vellic!es, In adc:7ioll lO :H!:omobi]Cs '2nd tr;:;:k,;;. Our CCl1';jr~':":,
ccncerning the anti·con:;:)(~r;{ vc :l:1:',irc (wc cff..:c:s cf Jllui-:.::r r2.S;;-~j:n; ~~r~
")~ \,c .... ~,ie •...., t~,p.s(> j ....... ,-..t,-..r "C "c~·-'s ... - \\'c:l "r1!=,1, .1v. Lv Jl¥ ~ •• v.v ••. ¥ ,.;;, .,
'J ., ~'1 , ,1
.... ~ ... ~ .. ' ~ .::..
? c l' 111 i ! , ill g : II (: CS ra b1ish 1ll CIJ: ~;( <l :) c \\' ~_L: :J j l' ;- -:, j T'.~ T
cxislillg om.:. (ORC ~ ~5J~.5j):
\"'\. "'".'- ..., l)'-';-~ 0"' .. '"" .-~ ./.. _ ~ l{ ......... 1 .....
. " "~
.", ~ (~ .....
sp~ciiiC' grcum:':i fer ,he eS:Jb:j,:;l;::~-('J:: 0f rc:!,xJ:~':n :)1' ,l ,1:::11:::.:-:::::- ;:~
lJOt.ificatlO11 to ':>..i:-.ting ul';.:kr'>, ;;::d :0 enF r1:= ~u:·~j~:1 uf ?,::::.)f ~.::
',' .
.\ The rc:h;vant !Tl;Hk,:l ,Hl''-l (Ilr ded!::rs 01 :::'Ir.~::':C!l.;l"ed :lO!"r.~S cr
rccr~atio1131 Vcllicies is cJcf:!'1('c 1"1y n L1Uius ni :we~ty·fi\'e I:lile').
~ SI 'tl'(J- 11 j'::~7 ~1 T)r()V1U~S J. ~j"t ()f t'l'··(·r .....· r() l...;:;. I-,·'r'll··'j .. ··e(~ '~nl01l(1" OT.1,.I(':o.~.;:. :.': '- -~_.~. 1 "'1' l( ..;.}.'" L.. ...." ,;,1 ~1 ;:- , .;) ~~.
detcrmll1lng!I good C:lUSC e:\lS~" The":: lnc\<:,!e: (:) t::e e:;ecr GIl c~ ~2~:',l:
motor veillclc business and th~ L'nnSUnllnc: public in ,11e rdev~ll1t m:llKer ,;:',::~
('"') .\ tl'~" t 1 (> cst"'bll'sl' l'C'" ( r,l"-.,,, ,- -·I'··l "I, -,- ..... , ..-'~ ,.,;; '.- ~ _ \\: 1e '':''. ,1.... .. ...',J' ~'l Jr .(;l\.c,,(lnn ,'J <l \Je~, .... r '." ~:l!dll,.H.:> O. ".e.:,,-,c .. '.
'0 ·'le p'I"I'e "l'eres t ' (') \\"'·"'1'- .J,. ~\ .. (.- T .I~.\,~_,_ " .',,,, ..• ~~~ -,.:-, ." - .. , ~ L... \. .....,,"' .....I.!o. ... ~ _ l~ClJ L.. l,.l,; l,:,,~ •• I=- ..... ~ ..., \..1 4 _ ... ~ ;:'.~l.lo .. \'" ••••• : .... l..: .... , •• \.
rekv~l1t :n~lrket ~H~~\ ;'Ire ;)ro\,jJ:!J~ <I12C:":U~II(; C~~nln ,:ti;:;, ,J;-,d cup.\e:-::':l::
CO!1sur:-:er care for vchicles: ;,::d (~) \\';~c~·h~:- :~C\' '\Jr~ j:::\;~::::~ ~:l:e::·.::::~ :::~~:-~:~:
per. e t j il :: <; n ;~ nd re';:'l res c!~ : :1 t : c, r..
. .., -
.: - - - - ~ -
- - -
, ". _... ~
. ~ ,~,-.
competition 1:1 rd~:; rr.~)tor vl:nic\: i1':<..lrkcl." In O)li,i. illl": SB :{;_~ ~l;;;l..:::~;::~;::~
"... Quid i~'l:;;:nsify rhe al::~·c8mi)e::tive JS~~eC5 i)i' !;1csc laws. -:-:1ec;;:: :0J;C:-,~.:;:-;.~~
Such pncl: increasc~ rc~ult frum the rc~lr<'lint l:ll; R~L·\ ;a"" :.'i~t,-;.· ',:;;
t'ret:::ullT!l lo ()fJt:n T:~W J<;ul~rships. By lirniLing m<..:n~(:JeL'.lr\::-s' (;-'-.,: ....;\):.: l
:ncreasc :11c C8S, of c:saisuti::g 3utcmoGiics ;:\nd thcreby f3.::::':\:~ ::scs :::
few\::, Jl'~;(.;rs an()ng '''':"1()i'Tl L,) snup for h..:tLcr r:-iccs, ~\nJ :T.:l)' :'in;,,! L:-"'::'
travel f<.J.,thcr a:lu ~Xr)(;J,u mnl' l:mt::: in th<: cm.:rse ,if lhe;r sh()f'7'~:;~,
6 These pnce incre::lses are most lIkely to occur in counties or 1::2::C:-:'2.: :::::
are3S experier.cing <.l g::-c\V.rh in population, The rC5ulcs of :~lis FTC sr.:::; ~~~~.
consistent with other s:uGles \\'h1C11 show increased prices ;-csu]ting f,()!~, :-\\f.-\
Jaws. ill Eckan.l, E, \V., Jr., "The Ejfe::-r.~ oj Srme Awml10hiie Dcaler Emry
RegulmirJrlJ on New CClr PriceJ." E:"':()fwmic Tn(J\liT'v, Vul. XXIV, ~o_ :2 (Aprij
1985), pp, 223-~2; and Smith. R L., "Franchise Regularion: All fe-o/lomie
A.lla/vsis oj SiGle Res/rieriolls 011 A.//lomobi/( Dis:ribillioll," ]OUrl';;t! ,)! Ll\\' ;lrr"~
Ecoi10mics. Vol. XXV (/\.;)ri1 19H2), pp, ]~5-:i. Ohio expcric:;e~d vlrmail)' 2;.';~;
population growth hetwe~n 1075 and 1')84. \Vithin Ohio, ho,,\'c\'cr, there 2f('
many areas that have expeneneed popui::ltion increases. It is within tbe,e ;;:::;:"
that RMA Jaws arc more likely to increase ,he price of 3u:cmobljes. !:;
addj[ion, future population growth will tend to inerc3sc tbe effect of R:\'I.\ ::.:.\,,~
Sinc~ the reJ\:::Jse ()f lnl: BUfl·J.U ()f EC~Jn()m ics Sldf[ RC;)()rl, \YlJ<.1T ll;::
Econometric Forec::lsri:;g ASSOCJ:ltcs (\VEFA), ;l[ the rCi.jucst \Jf the ~a[]()n~;:
Automobile Dc:alers Associatiun, has pf<;p,Jrl:d iJ fr;pmt lnul rcvi(.;\\s lh-.: S',I';
Report and c::;:dlenges its conc1lJ~i()n th,lt rric~:; of ;-lut(jr.;,OC:I~cS \\(;uld :-;,,~ ..:~ ;:
result of R~'1A L-l\'.'s in ;lfe<lS rJf growing PUpuhliun. \Ve ,:1:: pr()"l~:~r;z ',::.;
Committee with the staff's response to rhese ch;l1Jen~es (.-\::i'I::1fl;e::t :.)~ :<;:::'.
of the \VEFA G:~lcisms. ;11'::: showl1 to ~e inappr: 1 prJ;1Ie ;\n;: r:1J:sl::,;(:i~;. \\'l:-.-\'.)
"pec'l!·-'t'on ·:'·-'t rl'e St'i~· R"PC)11 h'ls f~"''''''''''''C'-'l,p'l "nl" l"'" .-, n';', r'" ._- .. \" (,., J. \'1{~ .. '........ ,\,.I.. .. J. • .....,.J,Jt.!~......... \,.; ......... 1.'.-10 .. ·J 1 ,.(. •• : 6.'.1.\ ... *-
areas Juve higher dutomobl1e prIces is snu'.\n ~u be unluunJ::J. -
entry of new
dela)' rJ:c ~~r~iblishmC:Ilt u[ d l:~\\ uc:a]crship by as 1IlL:L:~1 as ::,1.\ :1l(;J:~:lS L;!:Cc.:~
(.·Ufri.:;'1l pruv;sions. Bl'L:aUSl' SB :(13 \\()t..:.kl \:Xl"::lJ Lh<..' ~1;;;-: \\ :::~ln \.... ~:cr. ,!
~""'11··l~, "'1tIc;n"t,'d 'f .I'IS t~111 n"'SS'$ L: v \,. \..' \",.:.... t..... 1 ;-' U "'"" L ~ ... ... J. r l.. \...
c:xistJrlg dealer }ws an 0r'J'lc)rtuni:y lu nl:g()l:'-1ll: ,:onCl:S)l()r:.~ :~':;m ;;:e
mur;ufuct·...:.r~r in set:"lemen: d tr:e protest. Tl:e custs 0: S::C:: ~~el:.:':s :\1:(
-'-'C" ..
. \..- ' ..... ~ .
..=. ... ',~ ,-
~ '-.. \ '-.... '_.-
R(lther :118.11 passing SB :03. we rL'Cllm::lt::-::': ~.n;lt ... ~",... ., ,+ ~~ -
..... ,,./ ~ .. ::- .. '~, ..... -
repea1::1g the currea! R~lA la\\'s. Exist;ng Q(·,::-.:rs arC' T:;: ::'..:e:y L.' -:-c ;:--,::: ~.:
hy i.;'e r-::;;eal uf these laws, c:x:(~:): \\hcrc ::;\... :::,,"'S ::;)\C ;"",-,:-~:::;:,.: <:;-'::.'
CUI".1petiti\'e ?rofits,
111 such? l11<lrket.
1Il r~al ~statc:, inventur;' and personnel to req'..J:re c21reful C(;r:5:~1e:-~H!On of '.'.)::-.:
th(; mark(;t can hear. :-'1Clnufac!'drerS will likew:se avoid ::;vc:-·satura:ing 111 3.
market. They have an interest i!1 sHong, stC\L;lc dC31crs, \\'cll-cst3bl1s;:d 1Tl ::-:C
cor..:mL::1Jty, whose goudwill \viE 11clp sell the proGue£. !=\lr:l:c:-, if ;)
In a :lll fa c: t u r erga j 11 S a ft..: p u 1aLi 0 n f lJf t rl: ali :l g l:.\. is tin g ul' ~ : ..: rs h~l(.l Jy, ; L \\ 1 1J :-- (;'
'; \V~ r.()l-: lhal th::: SH 103 <JHJ<;rldments :u the "good CL:se :~lcur:;
c:numerulcJ in Secll\Jn ~::L~l 'lnd n.S ;lhu\'C include ddeli~g t;1e ef:e:: en !;,
reTail moror vehicle vusiness and rhe cOIl.5li!1!illg j)/lb/ic ill rhe rdelan! market
area" and adding the effect en "rhe ('Xi.5lillg 1/('\1' mOlOr ,'i:hi,';'t (hule,. uf rht:
same line-make in rhe re!cI'QI1I madel arm" Alrl":cui:Th § 4.:T:-.~1(13) :lS:S
'\v~e:her (t~e action) lS injur:ous or benef:ciCll t/; the pu~~ljc J:1tcrcst" 3S .J.
",,()(),I ••·.. Ij".., .. ["'-'lor ()m'~tI·r.('T ret''''!''''r.-e·o ti'e "'r';""ct 0'1 .:,"" ~:'l'1Sl'"':''''' ~I':'.'!: o U I.,.. oi.ol u. '-' " .. .. ~, .' - .. t '- .. \". 1 l '- '-' .. • ~ r" . _
nl "'\' j'M"\n!\' I'nat cn!l-;umer \\elr;ne i'3<:'les \\,1'1·-:1 '\'e 1,C~''''\·'~ ,'··",,'c !,~ r·.' .,' .- (.1 '" J..4I.-1.... - '" . I. ~ ... \... \ v................ _" .......... ,.. _.......""
cancerr:, n:-e not Imporrant.
- :S -
difficult to find ?e~ sons who arc: \vJl:::lg tel ;n~1kt slgnifictEI (~ti)l:,':~ :::VC:>~::;-'::: ..'
in s~lcs ancJ 5crV:C;:; facibties whell he :l\':cc rur ;H':W JC::..li-.::-s <.1;:~I..·s.
\Vi!;10ut dee res:~·2.iJ1: :;1<1: :J,e 1\.\1.-\ :<"1\.... 5 !~!:1(':: c:;} t!:~:;· ::~':l;t:- ::) :::-:<.:
\.:~.)f71retitjfJn. r.:ar.ut"a::urers can be :llC:'e reSpcES,YC to C8:1s~;n:er d.:::::::::::':.3.
fear that remcvir.g R\'lA L1W5 \\':~l 1:2rm CO:1SU:::C:-S '.':' :o"l.. e;,i::~ :::.: ~'..;:c::::
:c:dcr se:\'ice is u:lfol.lndcd. CClJnpct::icn froP,') ck:J-:;~ C~[ (,[hn rr.:u::'..l~<jc:'.::·:::~
\' 11 I'ns"ur" 'h'll cllnsu....., s -"eel'v" t\...., nl;x "t' Sel'\'l'''''' """"l;~\' ·...,'1".,···'· "')..-' .'J •. ... l" .. ,.1 ,... • .l .. 1 .. oJ ~ ... '1" .... ",' 'I' ."... : '" '-
pr:ce they \va nt.
The E.\islin:l Ttfmilll\{iun Pruu:dun:s .-\nd
The Staatt: nill 103 Aml:ndmcl1Ls Hinoi:1' The
Development Of Effid~nt Distribucioll S~S{em5
seck preliminary anJ permanent inj";~leti\'e rcLef :n 5:2.:::: C:)u:-:. ~OH.C
~ 45i754(C).] Under SB 103. dealer ter!111!13,tion disputes would h~ he2:-d ~\:
).1otor Vehicle De~ders Board, which wDuld h~ [t>quired to commence a ;l~2.!,::jl!.
within IRQ days of lh~ JeaJ~r\ protes~.
Like the 1\.\1.-\ laws, the tcrmin:1tlon prOVlSlons ()I :hc existing "t,llut;:
SB 103 may d~crc3.sc the ability uf manufuL'lur~rs to ~st;Jblish emu P.1,:intai:1
dfici\:nt uistributiun systems. Termin,ltiol1s may be based on the d~~kr's
failure to satisfy consumer dem~nd5, resulting ill poor saiC'<;. POOf service. :,:-.,~:
consumer complaints, or !llJrket conditions may indio.Ie ,hat [c'.vcr dc:tl'rs
would make the distribution system more efficient. The notice and hCJr:i:t:
provisions in the current Ia'~' Clnd the SB 103 amend:l1cnts !'el11on~ the f!cxj;~:~;:>
.. =- -
...,
• i ..
= --- --- _.'--_#
--- -- ------- =
necessary to
A.s [\ resu:t.
. .... ,.,., ·l..c .. \s·e·..... .., ~,.,.<:~O s·' .... ., ,-h"I''''''" ;11 C:1 a_J,:, \... .... J ., ~' .. L ,.... : _1 .... \,.. -' :-' ..... I.. \ j U. '- H (.I .. =- ~ ...
..a ~ - .. ~ -
"- ! ; ..
-d· b·' ·.. t"' "'nd TIl·' .... "::, -r"r"r" "~. f'),.. .. D(l to' .,,,,\. r l. !' ~1:,r~-..>r ".--- 1S r r 1 U ~ j () n. 5 ~,) _ .LJ , (.\ l. U. I v .. ,,~Io,.. 1.... '" ~ L • .;. L \., \.. ..........1 [" '- ~ r d \".. ~ 1=-........... \.. v.) .. ,:,
;:.ssoci~~ed wi~~ an ineffice:lt 5:- Sl(;!lL T}-:c::ie in:.:r~ascd C(lS:S are llk~:\' :,-) ;~.s~;~:
111 lligil-=r prices for consUr:1~rs.
Conclusion
:n Obi:),
. . . . . .
c~)71:}le~l~lct: lj~ ;t.:~:·li: :-.:~..::c:- \'I...:.~':"·;:': ::::::'::~':.:'"
" -. .. ~
bdicvc t:'at elirnin:.Hlng ~he (Uric:,r :>t;,:tu~ory ::H'O\'lslons w()'.:ld b~l-:cfi[
cor..SUrrlers. and we urge you :0 (;::;nsiJc;' tl1Cil' 1'(::.)(;<\1.
'l The c!cvcn-me:1:bcr :\1L;[()r \'e:1iclc Dc~krs Dl)iUd. whic:-t would he:H ~(;';::.::
terminatJOn disputes JS we!] (lS enrry pro{.;sls ~ll1dcr SB 103. conslsts ()r tJ1e
Reglstrar of ~fotor Vchlcle<; :md ten InC'mhers ;lppoinrc-d hy the gOVl'rnor 0:
these rell members. se\'en :nuSi. :l:-l\'C lxcn ~ng,l~cd in the :l~()t()r \'-=hic!c r.c:s:::;;s'
- five in selling vehicles 3t :ct:lil ;lnd :\\'() in \'~hicle lcasiliz, Or.!\' :~;:'C'2 ,.,(
the ten <'l"Jpolnred members ~\r~ ::~ )t~ec:Lc.:l;1v rCDresellt :J:(~ ;J~8l:c. ~~!lC ::J ....".
may not :1avc he~;'l er.g0.~'2C ;" "e:!:~.g :~:c:tl)r' \-ch':e!es ~r ,::::2,'): iO:ZC; ~.::--:..
~Janufact~lrcrs and (.hs,not::c;rs :Jr:: net leprc~cn{i,;d Oil the DO;I~d.
Ohio Senate
Sra:eMC'L;3~
:o:u,.~::):;s. Ct"'~I~ ~2~~5··:5Q~
Q~.1,450-aC82
:..'. ," . ,~ ... -:.:. .. .;, -.- -~_.
,"I .:: .'S'--;-'
Cooper Snyder
14:!l Olatrlc! G:' I ,
It .:
l..
~r. ~ichael ~ing
F.; de r a 1 7 !' '" J c Cc :-r.l':l i ; sic:-,
11S St. Clai=e Ave~~c
Suite 500
C:ev",l.::ll\;l, ,..... . " .. ,
\..'nl.C .... -..L...:,.4
~ :~a.'.;.~;t t~Gt:':':>':':1Y rrc~ ','0 1"::- ~~';l:_~:~:-:-:t:=t~:: -it=:, ~ ~.'''';: '..:1 c;~ ~~('."'-l:= 3: __
(notor' v~;~l::2.t: ~~Ltl:::.;;c:cr:·J.r2:-:: ::::.:~r .J"::' re~:'~;.':::~::1e:--.~ ..: .:~."';Y :--lC~.;:':~~~~.
:. ~.;:) a::~':'~~ ':.;io.: ':0\.1 c:..)l:\::·.\Jl'.:"':~:.a <i:':-2C:~~: ... __
:c- f=';:c:i:>l:'sr: ::.::l.2r ??P~·:~!'.:1n~-~ ~:()::.:~:
, - -~
;;i \'::'81: =0 ::~:t: ::;(~:"ncus .. ,
C~ai=rr~n T~ci ~rg~'s 0i~~~~
~~74C00::lIH S:1Vce~
S::.::.te Sc:i~.:cr
CSf ~,'i
cc: ':'he ~cnl~:f4;'l.~ :cti C,,::;];, Ch~:':'=::l~~:l t t-: 1..;;1\.~';'YS, 7r.):"ls::·:'rt~ti=r:
an~ Local Go~er~~enc
The Honcr~~lc Eu?e~e ~d:ts
- :. - -:--.-:. =.-. "''':''- ":,,,-.-:
A Response to Wharton Econometric Forecastinl;: Associ:3(cs' Comments o nth e Bur e :l U 0 f E con 0 mi cs S (u d:: 0 f ReI e \ a n [ \ b r k ct ,A r C:3 L:3" S entitled "The Effe'cts ot" S,:lte E:it~y Rcgul:ltj,Jn J:1 ~ .: '.\ ::." " :! n d :l" ri r m 0 u r ~ :l r lie r CJ nc:us ion : h :I t R. ~ 1oX l:l" s nJ ',' e :I :- =:; I ~ : '. e :::! e::: ;:. :: into ~~rc:: ~ ~ , r"\ ~ • \. : t- . to Jny econome,rlC Jr,;:llysis. thJt ,.. ......... , ,_ I • _ ••. - • I I j .' investigJted to sec if (hey CJuse chJnges 1[; the cone::":5;'::1 :~, c Sl:':':' ?;c~J.rcd by ,-\lJn \1:1::':05, 5l.1!; C::::'Ct:lICl Economi:s. Feder:ll TrJce Cor.:mission. ~ \\'EF.A. ".-\n EV3JuJtion ot" the FTC's .AnJI\·sis 01 t:"'e ct':'::::::: 'Ji' R..\14, L:lws on ,Auto :Vbrkcts" (JJ[;uJry 198'7). The WEF,-\ report ·).:l5 ;:ore:-Jr::::: Jt the request of the \i3tionJI Auromobile De3!ers Asso.:iJtlon. 3 5 t J tere Ie vJ n t m3 r ke t 3 rea 13 ',l,' S j n ge ne r 3 I g ive e\::; lin g f r J n chi se j 3utomobilc dealers a right to ch31lenge est3blishment or rc:x:Jtior; by their fr3nchisor of other dealerships within a cert3in disDnce 01' their reIC\'3nt mJrket :He:l. 4 In 3ddition to criticizing the 5t3ff Report, WEF.-\ JddreS5es polic\' re3sons why RMA laws m3Y be desirable and discounts 3rgumenlS th:1! suggest th3t these 13wS '..,.-ill impose COSIS on socie:\'. The ;:s~e ot' whether R!'.1A 13 ws r:l ise price, however, is 3n empiric:l! one. Thcr::;cre, w~ do not evaluate wEFA's comments regJrding the policy issues bu: rJther focus on the c r j tic ism s 0 f I he e can 0 mel ric mod c 1. \\-' e no l e, howe'" e ~. t:13 l l heW EF ..l, report provides no empirical v31idation of its view Ih:!l R\lA !:lWS cenclit consumers by IC3ding to higher quality service.
Report, Jnd 3) comments thJt CJnnot be 3Jdrcsscd without Jdditior.:Jl ·':J;2. some of which C3n be 'JbtJincd only (rom the JUto de3Jcrs thcmsc;"c~. Before discussing c3ch ot the thrce t\,pes of .:riti,:isms (Se:tions II. Ill. Jr.C: I V respe:t i vel y), Section R;::,ort. Sc-:tion \. con.:!udes I. The St3ff Report -'lodel :hc 5t3ff R.eport Je'.elopec J model ot' suppl: Jnd demJn,j Cor ::c'·' Jutor.lObiies. uSing 19-:-S cross section d3tJ 5 Unlike models dc\'clcpcd ~:. others. tlle StJfi Rc;)ort model tJkcs Jc:aunt aC the possitiiity ':-:J, 11": p3rt due : 0 d i1i- ere n t CO;) d i t i 0 fi sin I 0:: :1 I J. ~ t0 r '.. , ... , , .... ~ ..J •• Jny iniluence by JUto de3lers. !J \\' S d epen .: i n g 0 n 'w' he the; 0 r not the reg ~ 0 n 1sex pe:- 1e n -: ~ r:; J. n ::"'i : ~ :: :. :, .~ popu!:1tion. This 13tter consider3tion is e:urcme!y impor:3;l!. restrict entry ot deJlers into :lfe3S where there IS zero or ncg},;'.c popu1:ltion growth are likely to h:lVe no eCCect, becJuse in thJse JreJS It ;s unlikely lh:lt manuf3cturers would find it :n their Interest to stJrt ;} new de:llership 3ny w 3y. Therefore, an econometric 3nalysis th:H docs not s This model is similar to the models of Smith J.nd EckJrd. See Eck:lrd. E.W., Jr. "The Effects oi St:lte Automobile DeJ.ler Entry Regu!3tion o nNe w C:1 r Prj c cs ", £ COli 0 m IC III q IJ i ry , V 0 I X X J V, No. ::, (A p rill 98 5), p p. ::::3-~=, :lnd Smith, R.L, "FrJnchise R:gulJ.tion: An Economic An:llysis of StJte Restrictions on Automobile Distribulion", lVI/mal 0/ Lalli and £ CIJ II ()" 11 C~. V 0) l\:\: V. (A Pr i I I 98:: ), p p. I:: 5- 5 '7
distinguish cetween :HC:lS with nq;:ltivc :lnct positivc growth is like::- ,0 :'nJsk some of th~ eff-:::t 01 R\1A l:lws. The elf c:; t ,) I' R \ 1A l:l wson the p ric C 0 f ::lU: 0 moe ii c SIS cst j m:lt cd: rom the ;::>rlcc (supplyJ cqu3lion, wi~:'in J muitlv:!rIJ!e fr:!;T;c:-l,Cri-:. tn:lt :lc::,un:s Iwr the effects of VJrJOUS (:l.:tors on prl.:e. popu 13 t ion gro'-,th, t " ,- " ... .:: 0 n.:: Iud cst h J tin J rC3S C \ pc r :::: :J :: 1 n g p ,:) p U : J ~ 1eng r c '.'. t :-:, R '.1.-\ ;:1"" s :... :: .. c ~ l:lrge 3nd st:J.tisticJIl:; significJnt positive errc::t on the prIce 0i JutO;';0i..;:~CS. This is the conclusion thJt \\EFA c!:lims is in\'3Iid, cecJusc 3cc:::rcing to "\·EFA. L,:: conclusion results from :l misspc.:ific3!ion of thc su~ply ;,;o':e;. II. "'EFA Comments on the Econometric An:l!ysis \\e 3ddress first \\,[FA's Jsscrtion th3l the StJff Rc;:,crt's :::::.):10:-:-::::rl': In::J1ysis hJS specificJtion errCiS. This is :l rel3tively C3SY ::i3HT1 :0 ~Jr:C ...... ith respect !O :lny economctri.: In:liysls I: IS more jiffi::..::t :.J C"2.~::.t~ After c3refully considering the misspecifi::ltions :lsse:-:c': by "VEF-\ '·\C :liC un2bie to find 3ny indiotion thJt the St:lff Report omitted :lny \:If!:1:':-ies that would be expected to ce correlJted with R\fA l:l'...·s. Abse::t J r C!:1 t ion s hip wit h R \1 A l:l w S. the 0 m ISS Ion 0 f s uCh va r i:3. bIesc Ie:l r i \. doe s not :lfle..:t the V:J.lidity or the :l1l3Iysis. In :3.ddition. WEFA :lsserts thJl re!:llionships among included '/:lflJbles C[ln Ic:ld to misleading or bi:lsed results. We e.,<pl:lin bclow why this is untrue. Fin:lJly. WEFA mist:lKenly cqu:ltes the total expl:ln3tory power of In econometric modcl with the signifiC:lnce of :In individu:ll v3ri:lblc.
WEFA J.sscns (p. ·n thJ.t "Viewed from the perspeCtl\'e of its ::lbl::~:. 'v c."(pJain rcglon3i vJriJrions In the ~e::ll~r ffi3rgln. [he FTC mod:! IS :1 f::ii'....~::. The model introdu,:es lOS f:letors of which -;-Y:1 hJ.\'e:ln in·.:orrect (usin~ rTC , ~ J •• \'C ry , ~' St:ltlS~i': C.X.IStS to uct::rmlilC en tire [J.ctors In J. mod:::l. r3Kcn togcr:--e •. HC st:lt;stic::111y mCJnir,g:·ul.° E.::.:h :·1 rhe 9 equJ.rions :n the SrJff Report p3sses this rest J.r ::10re rh::!n ..... i~ l" .... sep:lrJ.rc rele\'1nr expl3nJ.rGry fJ..::ors indi\'ldu:lI!y. [wher:] rhe \Jr;GJ3 expl3n'atory factors He ir.tcrrc!J.tcc", This IS nor !rue,' cxplan:ltory v3ri:loks do no: ':J.use :n.:orre.:r estirr.Jrion (ti::!s:. the estim::nion yields sign;;-i:::;nt cJeffi.:ients they 1re perfe:rly ~ .. '- 6 This st::ltistic is '::lllcd :In F-st3tistic. The F-statisti.: is cased on how much vari3tion in rhe v:J.riablc of interest is expl:lined by the f3.:torS in the model. -; In fa':t. if a model ~JS inrcrrel:lted explan3rory v:J.riablcs, the omission of any of these vari:lbics from the an::llysis will bias the results. To 3void misspc':ific3tion. it is essenti3] th3t 311 v:J.riables chat affect rhe dependent vari3ble 3nd :lre interrel3tcd with ocher expl3n3cory vari3blcs tc included. See Pindyck, R .. 3nd Rubinfcld, D,. ECOllometrlc ,\fodc/s & ECOllonuc Forecasts • .\1cGraw-Hill, 1981 (PP. 1:8-130).
-:orrect. 8 Ani n t c rr :; I :ll ion s hip :l m 0 n g \ :H I:l b ic sis :l n ~"( C' i J r. J t jon ,~, ~ : '. ! j r why in d i v i d u J l:c, c:" f ic ie :l (S m J y J P Pc::l r tot e :ns; gr. i t' j CJ n L J.nJlysis. the res:.:i:s con:c,nlng the inci'Jded ;'Jctors Jre :;c, \':llic, T:-::5:5 11 0 t :ll W J \' S (r u c, T h t: ex -: Ius ion 0 f reI e '. J:l t \ J r: J cit: 5 b i J 5e5 : ~ ~ est i J:.:'. : C5 ,:;' t h to: ; n L Iud c d j. J .::: ~. r S o:'1I~· : 1 ( h c i ;).:! u dec :.:1': ~ 0 r S J ~ ;: ,:: =- ~ : ::J l ~ ,j '.\" i I ;; . L. ro excluded :lnd incl"dcd fJctors, reg jon::11 cos ts 0 f 'J w n I n g J n d 0 per:l tin g H\ Jut 0 m 0 'c ii e d eJ Ie rs hip s n() ~ i d L' c included In the :'.:1:11'.5:5 . ~, not differ in this WJ\, ther. the e5t:m:l:es octJined without .1.... ... ~ . I .... regior.:ll cost v3rlat:ies Jre unbiJscd. WEFA su[Sgests thJt I', " I _ ::>crformed ''''''eli il For eX3mple. \VEFA Sl3tcS (p. :l) "the 'Jbje:rivc (Ii ,1-.. ... :'11 ... 8 See Kmen:J'. J,. E!emelllS of ECO/lometrics, \1:lcmiIlJn Publishing Co, ~cw York, ~ew York. 1971. KrnentJ St3!eS (p, 338) "Let us now e:omlne the connection between the degree of multicolline::1rity and the properties of the IcJst squJres estir.1ators of the regressIOn coefficients. Cndcr the basic 3ssumptions of the clJssiC3! normol linear regression model. the l::Jst sqUJre~ estim:ltors of the rqression coefficients h3ve ::111 the desirable properties," 9 By relevant, we me::1n thJt the vari3clc is importJr.t in exploining the dC::ller price or t"11::1rg:n, 10 See Pindyck, R,. 0 nd Rubin reid. D" pp 1:8-130. 11 R" indicates the perccntJgc of vari3tJon in the dependent v:lri3blc cxploined by the model ;; -'
FTC supply model WJS to explJin regionJI \JrlJtion5 in the dC:llcr l1iJrgin :lnd to determine \vhether in!roducing R\1.A I:lWS in'.:rc:lsed !hi:; mJrg:i'. II esse n t i::li IY :l II the c:< p IJ n J to r y po w e r i nth C J \' C r :J. gC U:i; t rct:J. il ::' ric C C::.; L: 2 t 1J n R\1.-\ ;2',\5 is c:;r!:--~:~, ~u:~:~·"··",,"",· e:<plJincj by the St:lff Repon model (R"l, .s not :l re:c\:J.nt cons::.:rJriO:i The WEFA JnJlysis :-:ext rurns to more subS!Jnti3J m:J. ttus ~ ,- 'J, misspecific:J.tion The r:13)CH r:JissrcciCic:J.tiun citcd Lv WEFA '':2;] te 3n2!:.:e.: III. Empirical In\estig:ltion of \\'EF~ Comments The \\'EFA report c!J:rr:s thJt. r:uher th3n finding th3t R\:-\ 13\\5 res;.;'; ;)opl:l:J.tion, the St:lff Re;:Jor: :ns r~:lily found th:lt either: I, m2rket Jre:!." '.\' i t h I3 r ge :I bsol ute p (, p u f 3. t Ion 1ncr e:J. s Cs h:l ve h ig her ret:1 ij r:< 0 to r \' C n. 1.: ic prices. or :) m3.rket JreJS with old R\1A laws :lnd !Jrge aesolute popu!Jticil ;n:re:J.5cs have higher reni! motOr vehicle prices. In pJr;iculJr \VEFA notes (p. 4) thJt "since only l:J.rgc r3pidly growing cities h:lve ;:Hgc :lesolutc popui:J.tion incre3ses. the FTC mJy merely have docume:1ted th:lt w:lge 3n": lZ This conclusion :lsst;mes th:lt there :lre no omined [:lctors rh:lt ::Ife correlated with the I3.ws. There He m:1ny examples or empirical models where there is a low R 2 :lnd very reliable cCfe:ts on :3 specIfic factor. For example. In examining C3rnlngs JCrOSS individu:lls, those who have more experience e:lrn more th:ln those with less experience. The typical R 2 in sU c h mod e lsi s :l p pro x i m:1 tel y .: yet the [ J c tor "ex per i c nee" iss t:l tis tic:l II \' signlfic:lnr. 6
urCJn JrC:lS Jnd rurJI JrCJS, The StJ.Cf Report includcd the ;CrCL'!Zlr.-.;:! ;:~Jngc in populJtion (whether the ,-;i;.\lli:i:_' .:hJr.gc In populJt;on j"r JreJS Wl;~ grc'.... j;:g populJ.tion S.'10Cli":: . TJ ... - - - " . ~1 _ .... '_ ; , t h tlt t his tim ~ \.,. e h ::l v e inc Iud e d :l \' 3 r i 3 b let h J t C3 P: u r ;.: s \\.: h c the r ::l n 3 r C::l :. 3 S positi\'e Jbsolute popul::ltion gro\\th 3nd, i( so. ho'.\' 13rge 3n J8solute ~r8·"th. pcr~:nt:!g:: h:1'.::: J posi[i\'~ Ci~~-:~ on ., ;JII,:~:.l"" \\·c h:1\'e 31so rc-estirr:J.!~d the iGC;1tic:d s~;:~i!~i·:2.tion~ cx.:~~t th:}t ~h:s time use th~ pcr.:cntJ.ge , I· J:l ;::>opu Jll::'" otherwise. growth :lnd R.\1A 13ws t·) ;'lr,.- 1"> C ~ i ..... _-' g r .j \"- t h :::.J t R .\1.-\ j J W s, The res u ! t sus J :l g t his Ii J. r :J tie.: 0 n Cj r r:; ( he·.: 0 i'l .: jus ion : :-: J t J:l growing 3fe::.s, R.\1A !:lws h:l\e J positive 3nd ,ignific::lnt erfc.:t on th~ price of ::lutomotiics. H The WEFA study suggests thilt it is more 3ppropri::lte to explJin CCJ!cr m:Hgins rhtln to o:pl3in rerJii prices. \\'EFA clJims rn3r by including deJler 13 The ne\1.,-' 3nd origin31 regression results 3re presented in Appendix A, ::llong with 3 brieC summJry of the findings reg3rding the !::lw v::lri:lbles. 14 The regression results for the origin31 3nd new specific:nions 3re g i ve n i n .-\ p pen d i .'( B J Ion g w i rh ::l b r i cf sum milr y 0 C fin din gs reg 3r din g the law vari::lblcs.
.: 0 s t J. S 3 n ex p 13 n 3 tor y v 3r i::l b Ie. t h c R: of rh ceq u J. t ion is;' 1 g her J. n G 0 f :- c r s 3 mislc3ding indic3tor of performJ.ncc of :hc mode!. While V,le do not J£ree \·... ith WEFA's clJim 15 . In the interest of completeness we hJve rc-estim3red The results confirm our conclusion rhJ.t in growing :lre3S R.\IA 13WS h3\'C :1 1\·. \\EFA Comments that Require Addilional OJta V3ri3bks that He 3ssoci:Hed with the sDecific 17<HKet ::lreJ. (S.\lSA or countv :~\'e!) thJ.n to use st::.tc'.\"ice :l\er::.gcs. For e:omple. \\·EF.~ suggests rh:n who Ie s J. Ie - ret 3 i I [r:l d e 3 n C se r \' icc -sec: 'J r \\I:l ge r:l tes. v.. hie!: c::. n :: c c::. J c ~ ::1 r·2 ::::; for 311 the m3rket J.re:J.s. It is not cleJ.r whether these "·::lri::.l::lcs "'c·~:.: ~~C T his w 0 u Id d e pen don h 0 \.... S j m i i H ::. u to· d C:J. J c r W:1 g2 S :1 r c wholes:l!e [r::lde w::lges versus no\V simi13r loc31 Juro ·:e::.ier '.1.:lges ::Ire :.::. statewide auto de31er w3ges. 15 \\' e h a ve 31 re 3d y dis m iss edt her a leo f R: in e v 3.1 u 3. t j n g the j m p3 C t of R~A laws on the price of motor vehicles. In 3ddition. the econometric model was origin::illy specified ::is :J. dem:lnd 3nd sup;:;!y eqU:ltlon for automobiles. Consumers do not C3re 3bout m:lrglns, they ore 3bout prlcc. It is 3.ppropri:1te to estim:1te the model with price :lS the dependent v::lriatlc and include determin:lnts of price as explanatory V::lrI3bles. In fact .. by including the cost of t~e automobile to the dc::ller JS an exp!:ln3rOr\ variablc, the Staff Repon is beIng less restrictivc since is not restricting the cocfficicnt on this facior to be equ:l! to 1. as is the case if de:1lcr margIn is uscd as the depcnd:nt v3ri:lblc. 16 The results of these regressions are given in Appendix C along with J. brief summ3ry of the fincJr1gs regJrding thc l:lw variJblcs 8
WEF.-\ also suggests that it would be uscful to obtJin OJ,J j~ ... ~ I l.,.' I dc::tlerships over time and compare the prices 01' automobiles before the R\1.-\ IJws were passed to the pri-::es J(ter',>,,·ards. Tilc\ -::IJim that be-:::1use mJr.\· ct' the poter.tial omitted \'ar::1cles ';,'ouiJ r.ot -::~::::>g::::J\::r ::me. ::-y -::Or.~;:Ji;r.; PIOC- :1nd post-law prices we would :1\'oid m:::n:; pro::!ems. Whiie wc 3gre:: l :l ~. J. 2: 1 n ! ~ C ~ i rn c -5 C ~ ; ~ s. .: :- 0 SS- Sc ::! 1'J n :J ! :J r: ::. ; ~, S 1S suggcs:::::d by \"'fFA. the numL:c; 01 -::ross se'::lon obscf\:1tions l·jiCCc,e:1t deJlers) \,.. ill far exceed the r.umber 0[' time pcriods (the number .J( \'eJrs 01 r :; g i 0 r. :1 i Ci f [' e , e n c eSin d e:11 e, 0 '.\ ncr s hip :1 n j 0 p e i :1 tIn g cos t r:1 u St be;:" c ::: er : \ :lnd .:omplctely incorpor::ltcd intO the mo2cl. .-\ddition:111y, \\'fF-\ suggest: th:H regional differen,:es in ,:c:1krship oi::e. 3:::::::S i7",:\ within i.13:-:CS. :::::1;C, supplied aptions. ::Ind regIon:::; differences in ;c5;sIJtlon r.;USt be ir..:!u,':e::: -\:: dis c u ss c d :l b 0 v e . be C:1 us ,e 1,1, T F Apr 0 '.' ide s n 0 e '. Ide n c C t h:H the s e \' ar i ::I t ! CS J r' sy-;,tem:1tic:111y related to the existence of R\1.-\ J:1WS, it C:ln:1ot be -::onc:ud::::: tllJt their omISSion from the St::lff Rcport model will ::If:"e:, the nlic:t·; of the conclusions :lbout the effects of R\1.-\ IJws, V. Conclusion Al tho ugh WE F ,-\ h::l S C 13 i me d t h:1 t I h e S [J f r R C;JO rt m:1 y be sub jc CIt 0 spccificJlion error, WfFA provided no C."<Jmplcs of misspccificltion th:11 HC likely to :lffecI the report's conclusion. WEFA cited :1 few vari:1bles thJt 9
:HC not included in the :In:llysis but WEF.-\ provides no c\idencc th:l£ ::-:CS;; v:lri:lblcs differ system:l£iC:llly between regions th:lt :lre sub.lc,,:; to R\1.-\ :J''>'5 :lnd regIOns rh:lt :1rc not,:1 neceSS:lry condition for ot:t:lining bi:1sed rcs:.;lE. WEF-\'s spccul:1rion th:1t the St::ll"l" ~:;;::on h:ls demonstr3red only :~J, r:1 p i d I y g row i n g :1 r e:1 S h3 ve h i g her :1 u tor:: 'J [) i1cpr ice s h :1 S bee n s how n tor c u r. fau r.ded. on motOr '. eh lck prIces. Othe:- SPC~!I :'::J~lv:;S of th~ gro\\':h \'Ji::1l:ie :.sc conjirm the effects of R\1.-\ 13\\s. Fir: :1 !; y. ~ X :l n1 i n :1 : i 0 :1 0 I .: : J ; e:- m::l :- ~ 1;, :: instc:1d 01 prices does not c!c::.nge the report"s conclusion. 10
Appendix ,.l,. In this Jppendi-.; we report the originJi J:lC new estim:!tcs of the suppi\ ::ll:s,.::i u;::: JCfce, the coefficient on the growth v:lrJ:!cie, The results below re\e::ll th:::.t ....... ~ JbsoJute popui::ltion growth. I~GR J. is ;J05;tl\: ];..J SJgnJi IC::;-ot, In 1·::C:. t;-;: .m::l g nit u de J n d the Ie \' eI 0: s: ~ n j f j CJ. n ceo i' ,!i j,; c:: c ;' ric i : ;. tis I J r gCr (c r e \' c ~ :- VJiucs gre:1tcr than or equJI lin Jbsolutc \3Iuc! ;0 1,96 Jre :lgniiic::l"t ::H the 95:'0 level. The t-\'3!UCS 3re reported under the coerficic:lts ::lnd 3~pCJr in p::l re:1 theses, 1:' To be consistent with the trtlnsformed the Jbsolute growth vJriJble. the lr::lnSCorm:Hion oC the AGR '.'JriJblc in II originJI specifie:Hlon we htlvc The tnnsform::ltion is identicJI to :he 5t:::.I'[ Report Ip, 6:),
The Estim3ted Regression Co~:·:-;.:ients for the Rct3il Sup;::>I:. Eq~3:;Jn
Cor the :"line Chc\y -\utO Body-Types (or 19"78
'Depcndent \·3ri3i.:'ic = Log of RC:311 Pri::;
'" .. '-'-'
.68 i G
ROLD
lAGRO
1.-\ G R 1
-.1 G! '
( - 1.(8)
oi 'J3
i J~9'i
-.GO: -:-
(-0.83 )
- 1:53
(- :.10)
:::)1 :.1
I ~ . ~ 9)
1 ~ f' ,.
.... 1 _1~O
), ~;O,
- 1.: .') J
-.09.11
1- i .'7 0)
I:,OQ ~
! .5 ~
- CC: S
-0.90 )
-. I .:> j "
:. -91 (1
f .5,":-j)
(.661
: 'J - 1
-J: i 8
-.C·3,'
JAGR ISQ -.5.3~8
(- i .91 )
PW .91)'7-:-
(69.S3 i
\\'-\GEO::1
.-\DV -,00~3
(- 3.61 )
D E:\S -.0039
( -5.":6)
GR ·0031
1- .... 0 j
FORCE -0 I 35
1-:.53)
CA~CEL .OI7~
\:>.:>4)
LD -.0131
(. :,.: i')
-9.5: ... .1
(-.5. I .1)
.9162
i6'7:5)
0158
f j -6)
·0055
( -5.00)
-.00:8
(-4.! 3)
. 1'755
( -2.0:)
-.0162
( -:.'70)
.0::6
(381)
-.0 I 07
(-1,90 )
9306
.C203
-.0035
-00::
(- 3.38)
.0053
('7::;)
-.0 I: 1
! ':.39)
Oli:
(3.52)
-0160
(-3.14 )
I::
-:5-:--:-0
(·.1.:61
.938 I
0::;5
C _'j
-.0054
(-504 )
-.0015
i ·:.:6)
-.; 99::;
(·: ..11 )
-01-:-0
: -:.901
02-11
( 4.19)
-01.16
(- :.6 5)
- oJ I ~
-001 ...
( - 1. I .1 )
cOI.1
( ! .95)
.i) ISO
( :96)
-oe'-;"I
1- ).11)
007-1
11.-18 )
-0 I 16
f.::.:::)
_ ; l'" \
: ~ s::
'-'-) ;
- C03.5
.c:o: :
(3C5 )
-.1 - J I
( -l9'7)
·0106
(- ; .'7 -:- )
01..."
(:.:9 )
- 0090
1-15.1 )
The Es,imated Regrcssion Cocfficients for the Rctail Supply EquatIon
for the :"ine Che"y Auto Bod\-Typcs for 19-8
(Dcpenden, \'ariacle = Log or" Rct:lil Pricc)
.69! ) .::. - -
ROLD
lAGRO
I.~GR i
.0 J 55
10.30)
... oo:~
" ~O)
1.59~6
i .106)
-0006
(-: ;1
-.0:60
{-0.51 )
.00: 1
0.: 5 j
:".155<;
\,4.60)
.i;O::
, . 8:)
·.0990
{·i.79)
0100
;. -00-
I,~ C:.';
-.CC::
-. J J S.1
(-:.: 1)
01:0
" ; .91 )
:.35(:1:
{~ 5S}
- >=·.15
. • I
.. '_: _ -"' i
! ... 32j
.. G95 i
1.-\ G R 1SQ -5.0:' ~
(-:.03 )
pw .9067
!90.34)
WAGE .0151
I. 1. 7:)
ADV -0021
(-1.96)
DE:'-:S -0007
{-1.l0)
GR .0108
( J .5.1)
FORCE .003 J
(0.63 )
CA:"CEL .0036
1.76)
LD -0087
1-1S2)
(-.16; )
.91 J 2
(8;.--)
.0::;;
-0035
(-3.1 7)
-.0003
( -0.56)
-.0768
(-1.0: )
0013
(0.2.1 )
.007 I
(1.35)
-0076
(- J .5.1)
·.16: ]
.01 -:
11.961
-.0027
(-2 ..1.1 )
-00: J
(-3.05)
0017
-.0 J 62
(- 3.::)
.0179
(3.68 )
-0121
(-2.37)
13
-77015
.95~C)
-'::;.95 )
•'"\-" 1
. __-_.i 'I
-003;
(-363)
-.Ou I j
(-:.:5)
-0908
(-1.13)
-0 I 72
(- 3.1.1 )
.0:06
(3.83 )
-0 I 03
(- J .96)
: .. _~ I
. ":' --,)
'.'''' I
'- "\ )
<015
(-1.:'.1)
-iJC16
1-1.8.1)
.02 CJ I
(:.:':)
-0062
(.: .00)
.01:8
1:.09)
-0168
(.:.7'7)
_ 5
- .---)
-.0003
(-0 ..1 1)
-1.185
,-1.6.1)
-00; 5
(- i .17)
.0 J 83
(2.88)
-0 I 18
(·:0: )
Appendix A. The EstimJred Regression Cocffi.:ienrs I'or rhe RctJil SL:::-;::-::- Equ::lrion r 0 r rh e ~ i n e C ~ C\ Y .-\ u roB 0 d y -T y pes for I 9 - S (Dependent \-JriJck=Log of RerJil Pri.:el c 556J Chcvcne ~336 .J i:3 . ..:;:. ; .... - .-. . - -' _:." R ~ E\\ ROLD lAG RO I..;GRI -00:5 ',-8 I ) -.0672 (-1.03) .0053 r 70) i .9361 (4.33) -00:-:- t. -0. 7'71 -.J 03 '7 (-1.61) .0039 11.18) 3.:553 (5.65 ) -.;0 -:-: 1- 1.6 I ) -o:SO ( -.:": ) .001 : , .:;9) ... -' -.: i 345) -OC,SO (-I.5S) -.0331 (-0.-:9) .0077 ( 0.6:) :.199: ( 3.59) 3033 ; 159) -.• 1".- .. .,.:-'-- 3.: 53-:- :.36 : - - "-:. 10.5 - 1 . .- - L'-~ . I· _ .. _ , - .. '_. __ I lAGR1SQ -4.4453 (-1.54) PW ,9:89 (95.60) \V.-\ G E .0 I 93 i 1.99) AD\' -.0038 ( -:.99) DE~S -0005 ( -.66) GR -00:: (-.: 7i FORCE -.0096 (-1.71) CA~CEL .0 [86 (3.38) -9.933~ (-5.21) .9368 ~88.95) 0:63 (:.8 I ) -.0057 (-4.81) .0008 ( 1.09) -. J 941 (- ~.I3) -.012 J (-1.93) .0246 (3.92) ( - 1.3 I ) .96.:9 /8967'; -. ........... .1....1 _ -.0056 (-:.76) -.00 J S (-1.7:) -.0060 ( --l6i -01:0 (- I .60) .0::: (3.:5) -'7.J6-:-5 1-3.69) .9658 (SS:.: ) .Q336 1:.331 -.OOiO ( -3.96) -.0006 (-0.61) -.060: (-0.63) -.009'7 (-1.23) .0:34 (3.34 ) - !. - - :_1 I _ .... 1 J .9- ..:~ J ~ ;. -: 000: (0.06) -003-: (-3.8:) -.i)i69 (-':-01 -0031 i -. i 9) .0 1:-1 (.79) ·15.~. ..: "_' , _'" 1 (. 10 -:- ; - CG-l6 (-:.33) (-:.: 1) -.:JOJ I (-0.:5) .0: 17 ( 1.3:) LD -.0212 (-3.93 ) -.0174 (-3.10) -.0050 ( -.6'7) I • . ~ -.0030 (-I)JO) I I.:; 7) .Q3J-l 1:.1 S)
Appendi:-.: B
In:h i 5 J ;) pen ci X \\ C r::;:: c:
T~c gro"'-th ~:ltc
......... r -.~~,..,.~
~ 'l ...... :; ... ,:lIe :0 " 'I
-"'\ I.
(' C the ,) t ~ C r \' J r iJ t j C:3 ;) r c ': '2: I ~ ;:: :l S l r. :: ': '.\;2;- C' 1;: t h ~ c'r;::;-: ~! i C ;::-,~ r t. ! :
. ~ .:'~::. - - - .
:ll :he 95 c o level. The t-vJlues Jre repor:ec unc:er
In ~Jrcnlhesc~.
15
Appendix B
The Estim::lted Regression Coefficients :"or the Ret:: Ii Suppl\ EqL:::Itt<J:l
for the ~inc Che\y Auto Bod:--T:,pcs :";:,r 19-3
(Dependent \"JriJb!e = Log ot' Rcnd Price)
"l~:: i,U
ROLD
lAGRO
LA G R 1
~ , ,
I -, ':::" .... I
- j 013
(-1.68)
.0; 03
:CS69
-OCQ
(-98 ')
-.1091
(- 1.8-1 )
.0 I.:
\ 1.65',
[-1.691
(- i 1bl
-09-11
(-1. 70)
.0095
, ;50)
i ! -,
t ..... J ;
(-I.: I;
-.1060
(-1.93 )
.0 1 09
1.6939
("':.1.J)
,~:'.;.' -
·J395
'.. 66 )
r '"'\ ,'-
-.U'JO·
: - 9 -:-)
..., ........
"-' - - -
_S "
.J 1~ 'J
" ,
... - ~ - :
~ '.'.8'-' I
IAGR lSQ -5.3~3
(- 1.9 I )
-5.39
(-1.93 )
·~.5),'J
(-1.:5)
--1.619
1-: 73)
-9; 69
, .- , - - ~-
pw .90'7:
(6983)
.90S
t69.:8l
.C; 1:
1 ... - ,
{ J .~;'.J
.9306
! 77.80)
0:':3
i _ ':
0°:6
. C.:J -;_
-c; s
ADV -.00-13
(-3.61 )
DE~S -1-,039
(-5A6)
GR -.0031
(-.-W)
FORCE -.0135
(-:.53)
CA:--:CEL .017-1
(3.3-1)
-.00-13
(-3.66)
.0039
( - 5.": I )
-.00:-1
(-.30 )
-.0133
(-:.58)
.0 1;7
(339)
-.0033
(-3.-13 )
-00::
(-3.38 )
.0053
t. '73)
-01: I
( -:.39)
.01-;:
(3.5: )
-.0389
(-3.5-1)
-00::
(-3.3-1)
.0050
(.66l
-0 I 25
(-:'-~5)
.0177
(3.59)
-.001-1
(- 1. I -1;
001-1
( 1.95)
.0 150
(1.96)
-.0071
( - I .-1 I )
.00: -1
(J.-18)
<0 -
, - I . - _ :
-00'75
(- I. -19 \
.0080
( J .60)
LD -.0131
i - :.-1;)
-.013:
(-:.-13 )
-0160
(- 3. I -1 )
16
-0 J 61
(- 3. I 5)
-.0116
(-:.:: )
-.0 I 16
(-:.: 3)
Ap;:-e:-:dn B The Estim:1t::d Regression Cocffi'::Jents I"or the Re::lii Sv:;;::: E::;u::,ion for the ~in:: C;,c"y Auto Body-Typcs for I S-S (Dcpendc:1t \":1riJble=Log of Rct:lil P~iC::l \10ntc C::r1o .'\ I.~ ROLO i:~GRO -CC06 \ -:0) .0 155 (0.30) C f"\~' .... v_~ (-JO) (4.06; -.COC:~ .0095 ( 19) -0017 . -: S) i': r) 5) -.0990 (-J. 79) ,'J! 00 ! : .5 S) -0G:3 '-. SJ I -1036 (-191 ) ',; 106 I 6°5: i 4(.0) - ~ 5 ::5) , " - i _. i 00:- -r>, ._ J J .... r, ...... . . ':'~:_' f-\ G R j 5 Q - 5. 0 ~ ~ (-2.03) P\:; .9067 (903~) .. AGE .OJ5! . I ."7 2) .-\0 V -.00:1 (-1.96 ) :) E:-<5 -.0007 (-I. 10) GR .0108 ( 1.54) FORCE .0031 (.63 ) CANCEL .0036 (.76) -5. J 4 ( -2.08; .90: I 1903:) ·176:, -00:: ( -2.00) -0007 (-1.01) 01:1 ( 1.65) ,0031 (.63 ) .0037 !.7 8) .9.:95 'S 1.9:) " - ... ...... ! - -00: 1 (-3.05) .0017 (.:3 ) -.0162 (-).:: ) .0179 (3.68 ) -4.66": I !. -I. -; 4 i -.00: -: (-:.48 ) -00:0 (-3.00) OO:i (.: 7) -.0163 (-3.:3 ) 0180 (3.70) ... c. -,,_ . '" _ i ... ~ I; 15 ! -i.J..t) -':),J: 6 i -!S~) .0:0 I r :.::) -006: r -1(0) .01:8 (:09) -,0016 (- j .1 : : -0015 (-1-:--) .0193 ( :.05) -.006: ( -.99) .0 I 28 (:.10) LO -.0087 (- 1.8:) -.0088 (-183) -0 I ::: I (-:.37) -.01:: (-:.37) -,J 16S (-:. -;7) -.0168 (-2.73 )
• :-\;:>pC:1dix B The ESllmJtcC Regression C::,cfCicienls (or the RctJiI Supply Ec;:..::::ion l'ur thc :"iinc Chevy Auto Bod\'-T\~es for 19-5 / Dependent VJr:Jble=Log or RCIJI! PriC:::::l ,- C' ~l C \" C ~ t c SpOrt·.J:J .::..:5 .., I' R:---: E \\' i -S I) C}O:6 I -S:) -,0077 i - 1.6 I ) ! .:0.' ,-I. 1.- i ROLD lAGRO IAGR iSQ PW WAGE AD'v' DE:---:S GR FORCE -067: (-10.3 ) COS:;. i ,-:0) i ,9S6! i - J.5J) ·9560\ JI9S , 1. 99) -00.38 ( -2.99) -.0005 1-,66i -00:: I ..... '"':" ,,-.- .) -.0096 ! -1.7 1) -as J 3 (-1.:6) .C069 '.93, 1.9853 ( ..L.31J -..U90.3 (-1.55) .9292 195. J6) .0:0 "7 ( :.08) -.OOJO ,- 3. J 6) -0006 (-"i 3) -,0053 (-.62 ) -.0 I 0:; (-1.30 ) -.0:80 t. -.:J) .001: , ~9) 1.73:3 13,J5 J -369-: ( .. 1. 3 I i .96j9 ( 89.6-:1 o~-~ ( 1391 -.0056 (-2.76) -,001S- (- I."i:) -0060 (-.J6 ) -.01:0 (-1.601 .. 0353 1-,3! ) -3.7050 (- 1.3 J j 965: i S9'.'di , (-' I. ! .... _... , -0057 (-:.83) -.0019 ( .. 1. '73) -00'71 (-.53) -01:: (-162 ) \ 1.69) -o..:c: 1_ i .95' .. ; 5 S- ,:,36, ( - 1 ' -._ I • . - r -- I': "'!. _ .; 5: oeo: (.06) -003 -; (- 3.3:) -0169 (- -; 0) -0031 (- 19) (I, _) :. :: - J l01 , . _ i -.oess (- 38:; 0 ......... '-)- 1- 93) -.0035 (-.:: ) CA:-':CELO 136 0.38) .0::: (3.:5 ) O::j (3.:8 ) .0 l:j (,79) 01:6 (.80) LD -.0212 1-3.93) -021: (- 3,9:) -.0050 (-6'7 ) 18 -.0050 (-68 ) .0::: ( 1.3 7 ) .0::::
·-\ Ppen d i x C In tnls 3prendix we rc;:-ort the estJ!7:3reS of the .jeJ.lcr ;;urgin equJ.:ior.. c· rig in J.l ;:-:) w (h \. J. r I J. :-1 e I 'x 3 S I..! 5e din ( he J n J : '.:: ; ::. ex p l3. n J. (0 r y \' H j ::l b lc S ::l red:: :- i ned ::l S (h e y we reI n ,h C oJ rIg: n J i r :: ~ 0 r l. The ~ . . "'- "" ': .::: ,:.. ~ '\. 1 • of the 9 r;; 0 eel (y pes (he i n (e r::l C( jon or (he ;::l W J n cpr:.;. c; , :: ( 1(., ,,2 ~ ::''' : i~ 3ppeJr in ;J3renthcses. 19
.-\ ppend ix C Th:;: ESlim3tcd Regrcssion CoclficienlS (or the Rct:lil Supply EqUJtlOn lor the :--Jinc C:'cvy Auto BOdy-Types Cor 19-:-8 (Depcndent VJri3bie=Dc3l:::- \1:Hgin! VJ ri:l ',' Ie \ 10n Ie e:lrl,) \hiii:'u C ROLD lAGRO IAGR.l -.1795 (-3.01 ) .0195 (: 85) I - - - J. ,_ -.00:5 ( -038 - I ' 1 I \ -::.40) .0139 I, :.:: 1} 13.5'7 - ! 7 ! ~ 1-3.05 ) :J183 ,:s·n ,":993 ;;0::3 '090 , .0 I)) -0037 ! -0.5": I (·'J.O~ . . j .:5, <9:; 5 (- j S5; .0 I 06 i -:- S) I _ . .) I J IAGR1SQ -5."76';8 (-1.98) \VAGE .OJ9: (::.0-1 ) .-\DV -.00-4: (-3.~:' ) DE:"S -/;033 \--4.-47) GR -.004! ( -0-19) FORCE -.01 if (-3.:2) CANCELO:Oi ( 3.87) LD -0197 (-365) J Q' ~ ...... -_.I (-IS::) ( :'.:3 1) -.00::-:- (- :."::: I -.0016 (- ::.3 4'J .0013 (0.171 -.0188 (- 3."7 I ) .0188 (3.8: ) -0161 (-3.!5) -J -:: 86J (-1-::'3 ) ~:81 (3.1 I) 1_ 3.551 - CQ:0 (- ::.8 8) -0186 (- 35"7) .0230 (4.53 ) -.0:38 (-4.64 ) -';.65 :0 (- 359) -.,J08 -; t-O.96) -X1S (-155 I .% i": (:.O~ ) .0098 -0081 (-1.61 ) .0090 ( 1.8:) -.0 I:: (-: ..19 ) -... S~-- (-1.85) .C3 I - i ),59 j - " .. ,.. _.'-- '....; -' -' hj] Sj 0114 ! ;..: 8) -0064 ! - I:: 8) 'J 1 ! 8 (: ..104 ) -o! 84 (-.3 -;- 8)
Appendix C The Esrim:ltcd Regression Coefficie~ls ior the RetJil Sup;:-i:, Equ::ltion for thc :--iine Che\'y-\ulO BOdy-Types tor 19-5 (Dependenl V:Hiacle=De:l!er .\!:lrg:~, C K \: E \\ ROLD IA.GRO :.-\G?, 'Ii ........ -.'~.-1 __ ·.:·oso , - :.1 S ) (- I .95) .0 I 49~ i 1.761 1 .... ~1 • 1_ ..... I ·OC6: (-; 'J 5) ·1596 (-:.-44) J16: (:. h) - : -I ... j I- 1. SO) -.10°6 1.-:.0:) 0109 \e.s-:,) :~:: , .. -. ) l.-\GR: SQ .79-:'3 i O.:~) \\',-\GE .GO=:-:- t2.05) : - J .8 I ) DE\:S -0014 (-1.50) GR .0181 ( 1.83) FORCE -.0 1:.15 (-:.2-1 ) C.-\:--';CEL .0:06 (3.31 ) LD -.023 i (-3.80) -j: 036 (- 136) .0360 (3.61 'j (-4:5) -.000-1 (-0.5-1) -.0055 1-063) -o! 45 ( -:.50) .02·n (oJ.33 ) -0:44 (-j 35) - 3.95 j , I-I.·WI .03: J (:.05 ) -006 '7 1-3-11) -00 I j (-1.:3) -0080 (-0 60) -.0146 (-1.98) .0243 (3.6 J ) -a 103 (-1.45) . _ ••. ::..: j . - , • '..... . _- J .' I " , -r:::: 3 , .~ ;:) ":<):9 ; '::.! 8) .~. 19 ; O. -6) i 139)
Continue your research in ChatGPT or Claude
Connect Omnilex to search the legal corpus from your AI assistant.