Questão jurídica principal
Whether the refusal of conditional release under Art. 86 StGB was lawful
Decisão extraída
Yes. Despite formal eligibility, the appellant's overall prognosis remained unfavorable, so conditional release had to be refused.
Fundamentação extraída
The court weighed the long criminal history, repeated failures on probation, disciplinary incidents in custody, the targeted re-entry into Switzerland to commit further offences, and the lack of convincing evidence of lasting change against the mainly orderly prison conduct and family ties. It accepted the authority's differential-prognosis assessment and held that the favorable factors did not outweigh the negative ones.