Questão jurídica principal
Whether the refusal of conditional release under Art. 86(1) StGB was unlawful because the cantonal court allegedly relied too heavily on prior convictions and ignored the overall prognosis.
Decisão extraída
The refusal was lawful; the court may deny conditional release when the overall prognosis is unfavorable, and the cantonal court did not overstep its discretion.
Fundamentação extraída
The Federal Court held that Art. 86(1) StGB still requires a comprehensive prognosis assessment. The cantonal court considered good prison behavior, but weighed it against numerous prior convictions, renewed offending during probation, and the applicant's lack of insight and remorse. These factors justified an unfavorable prognosis.